expat0tree
6/13/2016 07:46 EST
There is quite a bit of noise about the prospects of argentina's untapped real estate market today, and so i wanted to see what the expat community has in mind about this.
yesterday, a fellow martillero told me that the real estate market as a whole is going to get worse before getting better, in other words it's turning into an ideal buyer's market with prices becoming depressed due to macri's devaluation and also the high competitiveness of a fairly good volume of new construction coming online in the coming months. plus with the cost of natural gas and electricity sky high more people are apparently selling their homes in favor of smaller more efficient and safer apartments. but, is it true that the prices are going to suffer in the next year or two?
i thought that by devaluing macri is brining more investment into the country and hence encouraging foreigners to buy up real estate hence encouraging competitiveness and dolarization of the real estate market, just like did chile and uruguay, no?
plus there seems to be a genuine demand for homes and apartments in general, lots of young families are saving for their first homes.
so again, in your opinion, is it worth buying now or is it better to wait? a friend believes that the economy is not going to improve any time soon and that with another devaluation people's purchasing power would only get eroded.
thanks
Post a Reply
0 0 abuse
|
|
TomP
6/15/2016 07:38 EST
expat0tree,
It's nice when someone puts thought behind his/her statements as you have aptly demonstrated. Thank you.
I agree with what you say but the age old question still remains "How low is low?" Your friend says "Wait" for lower prices and maybe he/she is right but for how long? What factors will tell us it's time to buy? And is your friend ready to pull the trigger the very moment land prices and housing go from a stall and or negative factor to a positive one? Most people are not ready.
I believe there are many Foreigners eager to sell their Argentine properties at rock bottom prices, maybe even with Seller financing, because Argentina will never win back their confidence and trust.
I know because I have a vineyard owner who is willing to sell for what she paid in 2008 for a newly constructed 5-acre Malbec vineyard that now, eight years later, is mature and producing. She'll even finance. I have had many inquiries but no one has stepped forward yet. Maybe prices will go lower or maybe someone will make the right "Offer" to her and close the deal.
With Argentina back in the International Money Market and under a new Presidente who isn't anti Foreign "Investors" and with billions pouring in from major countries and major players, I think to time is just right to strike a deal.
Post a Reply
0 0 abuse
|
|
|
|
expat0tree
6/16/2016 07:51 EST
Tom,
Couple of billions here and there aren't enough to turn argentine econmy around, not until Macri tackles corruption and eliminates waste, but do we see any of that?
Good point, hard to know where the rock bottom is, and yet your fellow vinyard owner did not find a buyer for a reason, some are waiting, for me the biggest fear is to spend dollars on a piece of real estate that's yet to lose another 15-20% of its value and then take another 10 years to regain its original value, meantime argentine consumer confidence is the lowest in 6 years where even china is exporting wine to international markets.
i do want to be optimistic though, on some level it's hard to believe that argentina would stay behind forever.
Post a Reply
0 0 abuse
|
|
TomP
6/16/2016 08:01 EST
expat0tree,
You make some good points and if it takes ten years for Argentine real estate to recover I am afraid the country is doomed. If Argentina is doomed then pray tell what is the future of Brazil and Venezuela who are in a worse financial mess.
Post a Reply
0 0 abuse
|
|
|
|